PUMAs Did Their Job…Republicans…Not So Much

Well PUMAs, we did our job.  We phonebanked, we knocked on doors, we canvassed, we wrote, we gave money, we voted for the McCain/Palin ticket…in short, we did what we set out to do, and we did it in droves.  This, of course, begs the question “Why Did Obama Win?”  It seems there were definitely enough of us to swing this election, but the republicans decided that they were going to just sit this one out.

Over the course of this march toward electing a true American hero with wisdom and experience, I have had the pleasure of striking up friendships with conservatives; not something I would have done 2 years ago.  They have reiterated what I wrote earlier and are more than a little disappointed with their party members for selling the country down the river.

Paul Marston of the Marston Chronicles earlier posted an article titled How Big Is The PUMA Factor showing exactly how many PUMAs and in which states it would take to move this election to John McCain.   In his latest article, Republicans Stay Home So Obama Wins, he states:

As usual, the media has missed the huge story of this election. Their story is that Obama registered huge masses of new supporters and got them to the polls. At first, that was what I thought, but that is not the key factor. I was expecting the highest percentage turnout in 100 years amounting to 130,000,000 voters, but instead as of 5:00 PM EDT, 121,146,964 people voted for Obama or McCain. In 2004, 121,069,054 people voted for Bush or Kerry. Hence in a hotly contested election in which a fortune was spent on the race, there was no big surge in voter turnout. The population is bigger and the number of registered voters is larger than in 2004, yet just about the same number of people voted. What are we to make of this? We know that a higher than normal percentage of minorities and under 30 youths turned out pushing up the Democratic votes. We know that about 15% of Democrats who voted for Hillary Clinton voted for McCain-Palin (the PUMA voters). So how are we to explain the results? The conclusion is inescapable. The Republicans stayed home in droves. Obama did not win the election, the Republicans gave it to him by not getting out and voting.

For those of you who have been following my previous articles, you know I was predicting a McCain-Palin landslide in the electoral votes based on the P.U.M.A. Factor. Since these disgruntled Hillary supporters would normally vote Democrat, that should have been enough to tip the balance in the key states. I even allowed for a huge turnout because of Obama’s vaunted ACORN express in my calculations so as not to underestimate the number of PUMA voters required. I have been doing this for 45 years and have never been wrong before. It goes without saying that when the results were widely different from what I predicted, I wanted to know how I could be so wrong. At first I thought it was because the PUMA voters did not turn out and vote for McCain-Palin but they clearly did. Then I thought that it was because Obama got millions of new voters to the polls and simply swamped the PUMA factor.

It was only when the turnout figures became available that I had to discard that theory. If the usual number of people voted yet more Democrats than normal turned out and there a sizable number of PUMA voters voting Republican, how could McCain-Palin have lost? When the results were staring me in the face, I was totally shocked. The smaller turnout meant that even fewer PUMA voters were required in the key states than I had calculated so McCain-Palin should have done even better than I predicted. Naturally my predictions were based on a normal Republican turnout. Who would have ever thought that the Republicans would fail to turn out in this election? While I am still busy trying to wipe the egg of my face, I am also extremely curious as to why so many Republicans stayed home. I imagine that I am not alone in wondering that at this point.

I personally have my own theory about why the Republicans stayed home.  Occam’s Razor:

a principle named after William of Occam, a 14th century philosopher. The generalization states that, if there are a number of explanations for observed phenomena, the simplest explanation is preferred. Called also scientific parsimony.

Republicans stayed home because they wanted Obama to win.  The next question is a bit harder, but I am willing to take a stab at it.  I believe they stayed home because they believe that in 2 years they will be able to take back both the House and the Senate due to a liberal left wing agenda being shoved down American’s throats (just like the primaries and this general election) by the Congress and the White House.  They also believe that the President Elect will create such a black hole of chaos in this country, they will be able to take back the White House in 2012.  All of that being said, buckle up folks, we are in for a very rough ride and you have not seen anything yet.

I hope a continuing falling stock market, the new jobs loss report coming out later today, the big 3 car companies new $25 Billion Bailout, and whatever new violence that erupts in the world today do not interfere with the President Elect’s planning of his week long coronation festivities.

Hele Mai!

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5 Responses to “PUMAs Did Their Job…Republicans…Not So Much”
  1. SWPAnnA says:

    At 3:00 p.m. when I voted, there was no line, no gaggle of workers offering campaign literature, nothing much happening in my largely Republican precinct. The Right Wing R was re-elected to the State House by more than 2 – 1, no surprise there. Turnout was near 80%. But as a PUMA, I announced my preference then withdrew from all party activities as a statement. My priority as a party activist has always been winning elections. I turned PUMA opposing the hijacking of our national party by left wing bullies. My county was no different. I have little doubt that this administration will be the D version of Bush. So pompous and spun are these avowedly liberal folk that the R’s saw in this crowd what they themselves had been. For the first time, they felt what D’s have known for eight years: this is no way to govern. Evangelical transposition of zeal to political work DOESN’T work. Nothing really works unless we all work together. Even Fox News, seeing themselves in the biased media coverage, cleaned up in that mirror. Some good things came of this. People of Color now have their preconcieved limitations debunked. Women have had their naievete about being qualified debunked. Some reflection and paradigm shifting is in order. I suggest we pretend we’re watching an autumn leaf in its gentle back and forth lilting down the breeze of the closing days of 08. It most likely will hit a chinook, be whirled into a mutation of something better than either but not the best, yet, of the two extremes brought into balance.

  2. Hey, you’re doing increcible work…a new style, too? I played around yesterday with new formats, but went back to the original with a few tweaks….

    Big stuff today…

    Let’s talk money…see us today!!!

    a new one from KENOSHA MARGE….

    The Incredible Shrinking Democratic Party AND

    The latest SCANNER delves into Islamic Finance at our Treasury, Harvard, etc…..

    The SCANNER-Politics 11/7/08: Newsweek Editors on Charlie Rose in the SCARIEST Description of Obama So Far…(Video/Partially Transcripted); Sharia Hits the Treasury Department/HARVARD Alert!; Hill the Shill

    http://insightanalytical.wordpress.com

  3. CognitiveDissonance says:

    Diamond Tiger, this really pisses me off big time! We cross the aisle to work ourselves into a stupor to get a republican elected – for the first time in most of our lives. And what do the republicans do, for the first time in my memory? They sit home on their flat as*es and do nothing! Where was the supposedly invincible republican GOTV machine? I can’t believe these people think electing a socialist is better than electing John McCain? Are they afraid of the GOP coming back to a more moderate stance? I just really, really don’t get it. But I’m mad as hell that we’re all going to have to pay for their stupidity.

  4. Diamond Tiger says:

    Alice in Wonderland continues – we have definitely seen the gate to the Twilight Zone open here in America this year.

    Hold Tight and Stay Safe! Be Calm, Be Clear…We Are Going To Be Carrying The Load Again Soon.

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  1. […] Obama and Axelrod know, unlike the media, that his victory was not due to a sweeping mandate. As has been reported, less voters than ever identify as liberals — his base. Moreover, the turnout increase this year was neglible, and Obama owes his victory to them multiple millions of Republican voters who inexplicably sat this one out. Had the GOP turned out this year like they did in 2004, Obama would have lost big, because he lost about 20% of Democrats. […]



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